In order to formulate population projections, we must first look at trends of the past. Annual population
growth on PEI has averaged 0.5 per cent from 1975 to 2015. From 1975 to 1994, the growth rate averaged
0.7 per cent. From 1995 to 2004, the rate of population growth slowed, to an average of just 0.3 per cent
annually. In more recent years, from 2005 to 2015, this rate of growth began to increase to reach an average
of 0.6 per cent once again. Strong international immigration numbers pushed overall growth to an average
rate of 1.1 per cent from 2008 to 2011. A rapid decline in the number of international immigrants in 2012
reduced the annual growth rate to average 0.4 per cent from 2012 to 2015.
Natural increase (births minus deaths) has been steadily declining. An aging population and declining birth
rates have resulted in an increase in the number of deaths and a lower number of annual births. Over the
period 1975 to 2015, natural increase was at it’s highest in 1978-79 at 1,087. Natural increase in 2014-15
was 90, the lowest on record. The fertility rate declined during the period of 1975 to 2001, from a peak of
2.13 in 1975 to a low of 1.47 in 2001. The years following 2001 showed a slight increase, climbing back to
1.73 by 2008 and averaging 1.64 from 2002 to 2015.
Inter-provincial migration has tended to go in cycles, with periods of net loss followed by periods of net
gain. Despite these periods of net gains, on average over the period being examined (1975 to 2015), PEI has
shown a net loss in inter-provincial migration. Over the past 10 years, PEI has had a net loss of 6,168 people
due to inter-provincial migration.
Table 1 on the following page shows PEI’s annual population estimates and components of growth from
1975 to 2015
In order to formulate population projections, we must first look at trends of the past. Annual populationgrowth on PEI has averaged 0.5 per cent from 1975 to 2015. From 1975 to 1994, the growth rate averaged0.7 per cent. From 1995 to 2004, the rate of population growth slowed, to an average of just 0.3 per centannually. In more recent years, from 2005 to 2015, this rate of growth began to increase to reach an averageof 0.6 per cent once again. Strong international immigration numbers pushed overall growth to an averagerate of 1.1 per cent from 2008 to 2011. A rapid decline in the number of international immigrants in 2012reduced the annual growth rate to average 0.4 per cent from 2012 to 2015.Natural increase (births minus deaths) has been steadily declining. An aging population and declining birthrates have resulted in an increase in the number of deaths and a lower number of annual births. Over theperiod 1975 to 2015, natural increase was at it’s highest in 1978-79 at 1,087. Natural increase in 2014-15was 90, the lowest on record. The fertility rate declined during the period of 1975 to 2001, from a peak of2.13 in 1975 to a low of 1.47 in 2001. The years following 2001 showed a slight increase, climbing back to1.73 by 2008 and averaging 1.64 from 2002 to 2015.Inter-provincial migration has tended to go in cycles, with periods of net loss followed by periods of netgain. Despite these periods of net gains, on average over the period being examined (1975 to 2015), PEI hasshown a net loss in inter-provincial migration. Over the past 10 years, PEI has had a net loss of 6,168 people
due to inter-provincial migration.
Table 1 on the following page shows PEI’s annual population estimates and components of growth from
1975 to 2015
การแปล กรุณารอสักครู่..
