Hypothesis 1: A future in which core banking services are delivered outside of the regulated banking industry is feasible
-The financial crisis undermined trust in banks. Not least, it has helped make transparent the cost of implicit state guarantees and subsidies. While less evident in emerging markets, the resulting regulatory changes worldwide are introducing a set of frictional costs and diseconomies of scope and scale. Together, these factors are disturbing and undermining the economic model for the traditional, regulated, part of the industry
-In parallel with these changes, technology and capital markets are evolving with increasing speed across almost all aspects of the ‘banking spectrum’, including Transforming customers’ liquid deposits into longer-term financing for corporates and individuals, and rationing, allocating and pricing this financing; Acting as intermediaries in cash transmission mechanisms including payments systems;Acting as intermediaries and market-makers in securities markets; and Acting as public policy tools for governments, for example by expanding lending to favoured sectors or to spur growth.
-The only exception is insured deposits, which are still the exclusive domain of the licensed banks . But even here the central role in the economic system played by bank deposits is vulnerable to the growth in money market funds, peer-to-peer lending, crowd-funding and so on.
-Notably in Africa, payment systems and lending activities have emerged outside traditional banking structures led by the mobile phone operators
-In developed markets, the rapid take-up of mobile banking in countries such as the UK and US, together with the roll-out of improved wireless and broadband infrastructures, is presenting attritional challenges to the branch-based model, and helping to spawn new internet-based entrants that do not face legacy system or business model issues.
-A further shift in the market is that the banks’ withdrawal from some activities has created an opportunity for capital markets to substitute for banks’ offerings ; for example ; Similar trends
are emerging in property-backed lending, with investment funds and insurers taking a more extensive role in direct lending.
Hypothesis 1: A future in which core banking services are delivered outside of the regulated banking industry is feasible
-The financial crisis undermined trust in banks. Not least, it has helped make transparent the cost of implicit state guarantees and subsidies. While less evident in emerging markets, the resulting regulatory changes worldwide are introducing a set of frictional costs and diseconomies of scope and scale. Together, these factors are disturbing and undermining the economic model for the traditional, regulated, part of the industry
-In parallel with these changes, technology and capital markets are evolving with increasing speed across almost all aspects of the ‘banking spectrum’, including Transforming customers’ liquid deposits into longer-term financing for corporates and individuals, and rationing, allocating and pricing this financing; Acting as intermediaries in cash transmission mechanisms including payments systems;Acting as intermediaries and market-makers in securities markets; and Acting as public policy tools for governments, for example by expanding lending to favoured sectors or to spur growth.
-The only exception is insured deposits, which are still the exclusive domain of the licensed banks . But even here the central role in the economic system played by bank deposits is vulnerable to the growth in money market funds, peer-to-peer lending, crowd-funding and so on.
-Notably in Africa, payment systems and lending activities have emerged outside traditional banking structures led by the mobile phone operators
-In developed markets, the rapid take-up of mobile banking in countries such as the UK and US, together with the roll-out of improved wireless and broadband infrastructures, is presenting attritional challenges to the branch-based model, and helping to spawn new internet-based entrants that do not face legacy system or business model issues.
-A further shift in the market is that the banks’ withdrawal from some activities has created an opportunity for capital markets to substitute for banks’ offerings ; for example ; Similar trends
are emerging in property-backed lending, with investment funds and insurers taking a more extensive role in direct lending.
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