Other system properties that are relevant for landuse
systems are stability and resilience, concepts often
used to describe ecological systems and, to some extent,
social systems (Adger 2000, Holling 1973, Levin and
others 1998). Resilience refers to the buffer capacity or
the ability of the ecosystem or society to absorb perturbations,
or the magnitude of disturbance that can be
absorbed before a system changes its structure by
changing the variables and processes that control behavior
(Holling 1992). Stability and resilience are concepts
that can also be used to describe the dynamics of
land-use systems, that inherit these characteristics from
both ecological and social systems. Due to stability and
resilience of the system disturbances and external influences
will, mostly, not directly change the landscape
structure (Conway 1985). After a natural disaster lands
might be abandoned and the population might temporally
migrate. However, people will in most cases return
after some time and continue land-use management
practices as before, recovering the land-use structure
(Kok and others 2002). Stability in the land-use structure
is also a result of the social, economic, and institutional
structure. Instead of a direct change in the
land-use structure upon a fall in prices of a certain
product, farmers will wait a few years, depending on the
investments made, before they change their cropping
system.
These characteristics of land-use systems provide a
number requirements for the modelling of land-use
change that have been used in the development of the
CLUE-S model, including:
● Models should not analyze land use at a single scale,
but rather include multiple, interconnected spatial
scales because of the hierarchical organization of
land-use systems.
● Special attention should be given to the driving
factors of land-use change, distinguishing drivers
that determine the quantity of change from drivers
of the location of change.
● Sudden changes in driving factors should not directly
change the structure of the land-use system as
a consequence of the resilience and stability of the
land-use system.
394 P. H. Verburg and others
Other system properties that are relevant for landuse
systems are stability and resilience, concepts often
used to describe ecological systems and, to some extent,
social systems (Adger 2000, Holling 1973, Levin and
others 1998). Resilience refers to the buffer capacity or
the ability of the ecosystem or society to absorb perturbations,
or the magnitude of disturbance that can be
absorbed before a system changes its structure by
changing the variables and processes that control behavior
(Holling 1992). Stability and resilience are concepts
that can also be used to describe the dynamics of
land-use systems, that inherit these characteristics from
both ecological and social systems. Due to stability and
resilience of the system disturbances and external influences
will, mostly, not directly change the landscape
structure (Conway 1985). After a natural disaster lands
might be abandoned and the population might temporally
migrate. However, people will in most cases return
after some time and continue land-use management
practices as before, recovering the land-use structure
(Kok and others 2002). Stability in the land-use structure
is also a result of the social, economic, and institutional
structure. Instead of a direct change in the
land-use structure upon a fall in prices of a certain
product, farmers will wait a few years, depending on the
investments made, before they change their cropping
system.
These characteristics of land-use systems provide a
number requirements for the modelling of land-use
change that have been used in the development of the
CLUE-S model, including:
● Models should not analyze land use at a single scale,
but rather include multiple, interconnected spatial
scales because of the hierarchical organization of
land-use systems.
● Special attention should be given to the driving
factors of land-use change, distinguishing drivers
that determine the quantity of change from drivers
of the location of change.
● Sudden changes in driving factors should not directly
change the structure of the land-use system as
a consequence of the resilience and stability of the
land-use system.
394 P. H. Verburg and others
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