Following weeks of turbulence, calm finally settled in on the Hong Kong stock market on Monday as investors retreated to the sidelines to await clearer signals although worries about a global slowdown and the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy remain.
The city’s main stock indexes closed almost flat, with the benchmark Hang Seng Index (HSI) picking up just 0.27 per cent, or 58 points, to 21,670.58 after dropping nearly 1 per cent in morning trading.
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) lost 0.1 per cent at 9,741.41, as mainland markets ended lower on uncertainties over the central government’s next moves, as well as the direction of US interest rates.
At an economic symposium over the weekend, US Fed Vice-Chairman Stanley Fischer avoided sending a clear signal about whether the Fed will raise rates at its next meeting in September, clouding the policy outlook in the world’s biggest economy.
Monday’s flat performance could not alter the fact that the major indexes in the local stock market have posted their worst monthly performance for August in almost four years amid the global market turmoil.
The HSI recorded an 11.23-percent decline for the month, while the HSCEI slumped 11.52 per cent during the same period.
Writing in his weekly blog on Sunday, Financial Secretary John Tsang Chun-wah said that despite the recent market upheaval in Hong Kong and on the mainland, he’s confident that the city’s economic fundamentals can withstand the challenges ahead, noting that Standard & Poor’s has maintained its “AAA” long-term credit rating for the SAR with a “stable” outlook.
He revised his estimate for the city’s GDP growth for this year to 2 to 3 per cent from the previous 1 to 3 per cent, while warning that Hong Kong’s economic growth may slow down in the second half from the previous six months with the global uncertainties hovering above, including anticipated US interest-rate hikes later this year, the mainland’s softening economy and volatile financial markets in future.
On Monday, mainland stocks recovered much of their losses in morning trading, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing 0.82 per cent down at 3,205.99. The blue-chip CSI 300 Index managed to claw back into positive territory later in the day, ending 0.73 per cent up at 3,366.54.
Gerry Alfonso, director of Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Ltd, wrote that investors appear to be awaiting the release of the manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) data due later this week before making significant decisions.
Both the main indexes of the mainland bourses had shed about 12 per cent in August — their third straight monthly decline — and have lost almost 40 per cent of their value since mid-June despite repeated and unprecedented measures taken by the central government to shore up the market.
Russ Koesterich, chief investment strategist at global investment corporation BlackRock, said there’s doubt over whether recent interest-rate cuts by the People’s Bank of China are adequate to stabilise the mainland economy, and policymakers’ resolve to prevent a hard landing suggests they can and will pull more levers if needed.
However, he said mounting concern over the health of the mainland’s economy will continue to pile pressure on other emerging markets, particularly commodity exporters.
ต่อสัปดาห์ของความปั่นป่วน สงบในที่สุด ตัดสินในตลาดหุ้นฮ่องกง Hong จันทร์เป็นนักลงทุนถอยกรูดอย่าง sidelines การรอสัญญาณชัดเจนแม้ว่าจะกังวลเกี่ยวกับการชะลอตัวทั่วโลกและเราธนาคารกลางของ (เฟด) นโยบายการเงินยังคงอยู่เมืองหลักหุ้นดัชนีปิดเกือบแบน มีมาตรฐานการวางดัชนี Seng (HSI) เบิกค่าเพียง 0.27 เปอร์เซ็นต์ หรือ 58 จุด 21,670.58 หลังจากปล่อยเกือบ 1 ร้อยละในการซื้อขายช่วงเช้าHang Seng จีนวิสาหกิจดัชนี (HSCEI) หายไปร้อยละ 0.1 ใน 9,741.41 ตามตลาดแผ่นดินใหญ่สิ้นสุดลงล่างในแนวเหนือย้ายถัดไปของรัฐบาลกลาง ตลอดจนทิศทางของอัตราดอกเบี้ยของสหรัฐอเมริกาในวิชาการที่เศรษฐกิจผ่านวันหยุด ฟิสเชอร์ Stanley รองประธานเฟดของสหรัฐหลีกเลี่ยงการส่งสัญญาณที่ชัดเจนเกี่ยวกับว่าเฟดจะเพิ่มราคาที่ประชุมต่อไปในเดือนกันยายน clouding outlook นโยบายในเศรษฐกิจที่ใหญ่ที่สุดในโลกประสิทธิภาพแบนของจันทร์อาจเปลี่ยนความจริงที่ว่า ดัชนีหลักในตลาดหุ้นได้ลงเลวรายเดือนการปฏิบัติสิงหาคมเกือบสี่ปีท่ามกลางความวุ่นวายของตลาดโลกHSI ที่บันทึกการลดลงร้อยละ 11.23-เดือน ขณะ HSCEI slumped 11.52 ร้อยในช่วงเวลาเดียวกันWriting in his weekly blog on Sunday, Financial Secretary John Tsang Chun-wah said that despite the recent market upheaval in Hong Kong and on the mainland, he’s confident that the city’s economic fundamentals can withstand the challenges ahead, noting that Standard & Poor’s has maintained its “AAA” long-term credit rating for the SAR with a “stable” outlook.He revised his estimate for the city’s GDP growth for this year to 2 to 3 per cent from the previous 1 to 3 per cent, while warning that Hong Kong’s economic growth may slow down in the second half from the previous six months with the global uncertainties hovering above, including anticipated US interest-rate hikes later this year, the mainland’s softening economy and volatile financial markets in future.On Monday, mainland stocks recovered much of their losses in morning trading, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing 0.82 per cent down at 3,205.99. The blue-chip CSI 300 Index managed to claw back into positive territory later in the day, ending 0.73 per cent up at 3,366.54.Gerry Alfonso, director of Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Ltd, wrote that investors appear to be awaiting the release of the manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) data due later this week before making significant decisions.Both the main indexes of the mainland bourses had shed about 12 per cent in August — their third straight monthly decline — and have lost almost 40 per cent of their value since mid-June despite repeated and unprecedented measures taken by the central government to shore up the market.Russ Koesterich, chief investment strategist at global investment corporation BlackRock, said there’s doubt over whether recent interest-rate cuts by the People’s Bank of China are adequate to stabilise the mainland economy, and policymakers’ resolve to prevent a hard landing suggests they can and will pull more levers if needed.However, he said mounting concern over the health of the mainland’s economy will continue to pile pressure on other emerging markets, particularly commodity exporters.
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