consequences of climate change, attempts to contribute to thinkingabout how these consequences can be addressed.To assess the impact of climate change on Thailand, and howgovernments will respond to it, this paper is divided into threesections. Summarizing other studies, the first section describes thelikely physical impacts of climate change in Thailand. The secondsection forecasts how these impacts will affect the Thai state andsociety, focusing on issues such as social change, migration andrelations with its neighbours. The third section discusses Thailand’scurrent climate change policies, assesses its current capacity toaddress climate change and predicts how future political andeconomic changes will affect the country’s capacity. It argues thatThailand’s current political economy, characterized by competitiveclientilism, narrow coalitions of elite politicians, and fragmentedpolitics, hinders its capacity to address climate change and, thatwhile ongoing political changes will improve that capacity to someextent, it will still be limited in the coming decades. The concludingsection offers an overall assessment of the future impact of climatechange on Thailand