Executive summary 2
The global megatrends impacting governments and
citizens alike into 2030 2
The key changes indicated by the megatrends 4
Introduction 6
The good news 8 Understanding interconnectedness 8 What about security? 10 Analyzing impact: Our approach 10
Global megatrends 12
Global megatrend #1: Demographics 14 Global megatrend #2: Rise of the individual 18 Global megatrend #3: Enabling technology 22 Global megatrend #4: Economic interconnectedness 26 Global megatrend #5: Public debt 30 Global megatrend #6: Economic power shift 34 Global megatrend #7: Climate change 38 Global megatrend #8: Resource stress 42 Global megatrend #9: Urbanization 46
Conclusion:
Analysis of megatrend impacts 52 What governments need to change? 52
How governments need to change? 55
Appendix 62 Acknowledgements 63 Bibliography 64 Endnot