Because of rapid urban concentration in large cities in developing countries, especially in
Egypt where about half of the country’s urban population is concentrated in two cities, and because
of the mounting problems associated with this phenomenon, the research argues that small-size settlements
could be an appropriate approach for managing the urban future in developing countries.
This argument is based on the idea that recent and expected technological achievements would facilitate
the adoption of such approach. In validating this argument, the paper started by an analysis of
the main advantages of small-size settlements and the expected impacts of technology on settlement
size. Then, the paper examined the rationale of this argument in three steps. First, the paper statistically
examined the main differences of settlement size in developed and developing countries, as
groups of different technology status levels. Second, the paper has examined the increasing technological
capabilities of Egypt, as well as the main urban problems of the country. Third, the paper
presents the results of a forecasting survey of technology and urban development experts’ opinions
and expectations about the suitability and applicability of the proposed small-size settlement
approach for developing countries of increasing technological capabilities, such as Egypt. Through
these stages, the paper came to confirm the suitability of such approach for these countries, and
finally presents some recommendations for the adoption of small-size settlements approach in Egypt.
Because of rapid urban concentration in large cities in developing countries, especially inEgypt where about half of the country’s urban population is concentrated in two cities, and becauseof the mounting problems associated with this phenomenon, the research argues that small-size settlementscould be an appropriate approach for managing the urban future in developing countries.This argument is based on the idea that recent and expected technological achievements would facilitatethe adoption of such approach. In validating this argument, the paper started by an analysis ofthe main advantages of small-size settlements and the expected impacts of technology on settlementsize. Then, the paper examined the rationale of this argument in three steps. First, the paper statisticallyexamined the main differences of settlement size in developed and developing countries, asgroups of different technology status levels. Second, the paper has examined the increasing technologicalcapabilities of Egypt, as well as the main urban problems of the country. Third, the paperpresents the results of a forecasting survey of technology and urban development experts’ opinionsand expectations about the suitability and applicability of the proposed small-size settlementapproach for developing countries of increasing technological capabilities, such as Egypt. Throughthese stages, the paper came to confirm the suitability of such approach for these countries, andfinally presents some recommendations for the adoption of small-size settlements approach in Egypt.
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