The modelling suggests that increased and improved
coverage of essential RMNCH interventions, through
additional investments, could significantly reduce
mortality in the 74 countries. The high coverage
scenario would result in 147 million fewer child deaths,
32 million fewer stillbirths, and 5 million fewer
maternal deaths between 2013 and 2035 (appendix).
Substantial reductions in the total fertility rate
(figure 3), under-5 mortality (figure 4A), maternal
mortality ratio (figure 4B) and number of deaths overall
(figures 5 and 6) would be achieved, along with
decreases in numbers of unintended pregnancies and
improved nutritional status of children (appendix). For
example, the (simple average) under-5 mortality rate
would be reduced from 87 deaths per 1000 livebirths in
2010 to 35 in 2035 (figure 4A). The population-weighted
measure of the same indicator would decrease from
53 deaths per 1000 livebirths to 22 (appendix). Four of
ten child deaths prevented in this model are newborn
deaths, whereas 17 million (11%) are malaria deaths
(appendix).