The best choice is not always the one associated with the highest number on the board. Take a look at Smiths and Hickock’s options. There’s no doubt that freedom is the most desirable outcome, yet if each man confesses in the hope of avoiding prison, they will both end up behind bars for the rest of their lives. As is the case when playing a game of checkers, it’s not enough to know you want to advance your marker to the far side of the board to gain a king; you also must credit your opponent’s desire to do the same. Success requires that you take into account what the other player is likely to do.