Why Firms Forecast Exchange Rates
Hedging decisions
Whether a firm hedges may be determined by its forecasts of foreign currency values.
Reminder: Hedging means the company takes a position in a risk management product. This position eliminates the company’s risk exposure
Consider a Thai company plans to pay for goods imported from Mexico in 90 days. If forecasted value of peso in 90 days is sufficiently below the 90 day forward rate, company may decide not to hedge