Both sets of data M2 and Set index follow the I(1) process with disappearing
structural change between 1976 to 2006 that shown in Figure 4.1 and 4.2. The
bivariate VAR model of M2 and SET index has one cointegrating vector with
intercept but without trends model which conducted by Johansen method. Not only
find cointegrating vector in VAR model but the relationship between M2 and SET
index is also found by negative side.