DISTANT THREATS
As the Indian yogi Neem Karoli Baba once told me, "You can plan for a hundred years, but you don't know what will happen the next moment."
On the other hand, cyberpunk author William Gibson ob serves, "The future is already here. It's just not evenly distributed." What we can know of the future lies somewhere between the two views: we have glimmerings, and yet there's always the poten
tial of a black-swan event that could wash it all away.
Back in the 1980s, in her prophetic work In the Age of the Smart Machine, Shoshona Zuboff saw that the advent of computers was flattening the hierarchy in organizations. Where once knowledge was power, and so the most powerful hoarded their information, new tech systems were opening the gates to data for everyone.
When Zuboff wrote, that future was by no means evenly distributed-the Internet did not yet exist, let alone the cloud, You Tube, or Anonymous. But today (and certainly tomorrow) the flow of information ranges ever more freely, not just within an organiza tion, but globally. A frustrated fruit vendor sets himself aflame in a marketplace in Tunisia, sparking the Arab Spring.
Two classic instances of not knowing what will happen the next moment: Thomas Robert Malthus's prediction in 1798 that population growth would reduce human existence to a "perpetual struggle for room and food," trapped in a downward spiral of squalor and famine; and Paul R. Ehrlich's 1968 warning about the "popu lation bomb," which would produce vast famines by 1985.
DISTANT THREATS
As the Indian yogi Neem Karoli Baba once told me, "You can plan for a hundred years, but you don't know what will happen the next moment."
On the other hand, cyberpunk author William Gibson ob serves, "The future is already here. It's just not evenly distributed." What we can know of the future lies somewhere between the two views: we have glimmerings, and yet there's always the poten
tial of a black-swan event that could wash it all away.
Back in the 1980s, in her prophetic work In the Age of the Smart Machine, Shoshona Zuboff saw that the advent of computers was flattening the hierarchy in organizations. Where once knowledge was power, and so the most powerful hoarded their information, new tech systems were opening the gates to data for everyone.
When Zuboff wrote, that future was by no means evenly distributed-the Internet did not yet exist, let alone the cloud, You Tube, or Anonymous. But today (and certainly tomorrow) the flow of information ranges ever more freely, not just within an organiza tion, but globally. A frustrated fruit vendor sets himself aflame in a marketplace in Tunisia, sparking the Arab Spring.
Two classic instances of not knowing what will happen the next moment: Thomas Robert Malthus's prediction in 1798 that population growth would reduce human existence to a "perpetual struggle for room and food," trapped in a downward spiral of squalor and famine; and Paul R. Ehrlich's 1968 warning about the "popu lation bomb," which would produce vast famines by 1985.
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DISTANT THREATS
As the Indian yogi Neem Karoli Baba once told me, "You can plan for a hundred years, but you don't know what will happen the next moment."
On the other hand, cyberpunk author William Gibson ob serves, "The future is already here. It's just not evenly distributed." What we can know of the future lies somewhere between the two views: we have glimmerings, and yet there's always the poten
tial of a black-swan event that could wash it all away.
Back in the 1980s, in her prophetic work In the Age of the Smart Machine, Shoshona Zuboff saw that the advent of computers was flattening the hierarchy in organizations. Where once knowledge was power, and so the most powerful hoarded their information, new tech systems were opening the gates to data for everyone.
When Zuboff wrote, that future was by no means evenly distributed-the Internet did not yet exist, let alone the cloud, You Tube, or Anonymous. But today (and certainly tomorrow) the flow of information ranges ever more freely, not just within an organiza tion, but globally. A frustrated fruit vendor sets himself aflame in a marketplace in Tunisia, sparking the Arab Spring.
Two classic instances of not knowing what will happen the next moment: Thomas Robert Malthus's prediction in 1798 that population growth would reduce human existence to a "perpetual struggle for room and food," trapped in a downward spiral of squalor and famine; and Paul R. Ehrlich's 1968 warning about the "popu lation bomb," which would produce vast famines by 1985.
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