Suppose two candidates A and B are running against each other in an election, and A wins (or is tied) by receiving m ≥ n votes, where n is the number of votes received by B During the count the media makes projections about winning. Such a projection is reinforced with every vote received, if A remainsaheadthroughout.Theclassicalquestionis:Whatistheprobabilitythat Astays ahead of B throughout the voting? Ifm = n, the probability of the event inquestionis0,becausebythetimethelastvoteisreceivedthereisanequal number of votes for each, and Ais not ahead after the (m+n)th vote is cast