In light of the aforementioned economic assessment, the MPC lowered the growth projection for 2015, and judged that the risks around the central projection are skewed to the downside. This is because the possibility of weaker-than-expected growth due to the impact of more severe slowdown of China and Asian economies is higher than the possibility of higher-than-expected growth from faster-than-expected disbursement of the stimulus package II. Therefore, the growth fan chart is skewed downward. The Committee also revised down the projection of headline and core inflation in 2015 and 2016, and assessed that the risks to the inflation forecasts are skewed to the downside. The downside risks come from the possibilities of slower-than-expected economic recovery and lower-than-expected global oil prices if Iran starts to export oil again or if shale oil producers find way to reduce production costs faster than the market anticipates. Therefore, the inflation fan charts are skewed downward.