The world is an increasingly connected, complex and turbulent place. While change is not a new thing, many factors seem to be conspiring against us to increase the rate of change and the depth of its impact. Many of these changes are largely exogenous – caused by factors outside of the control of any one organisation – formed at the intersection of many different shifts, trends and dynamics. These types of changes may be explicable in hindsight, but are largely unpredictable, particularly in any detail. The connected world we live-in has an increasing number of interdependencies, causing events to be the cause of more events, creating epidemics with arbitrary and unpredictable effects