Future Challenges
In the 21st Century, globalisation and information technology will
dramatically change the societies and economies of all nations, big and
small. The security environment will change in tandem, as states adjust
to the new competitions and threats of the post-Cold War era and the
security challenges that arise from them.
An Uncertain Security Landscape
In the Asia-Pacific region, the triangular relationship among the United
States, China and Japan will continue to be the key factor determining
the regional security climate. How this relationship will evolve
is uncertain.
The US presence in the region has contributed significantly to peace and
stability in Southeast Asia. However, the balance of power will shift as
China gains economic strength. There will be a growing need for these
two countries and Japan to manage their relations with one another and
with the rest of the region more sensitively. Regional security and stability
require a stable triangular relationship among the US, China and Japan,
with all three powers focused on the larger goals of regional and
international peace.
It may take some time before the Asia-Pacific region recovers fully from
the economic crisis. Full economic recovery in some parts of the region
could be derailed by internal instability brought about by political and
socio-economic difficulties. The economic crisis has shown clearly the
strong linkage between economics and security. There can be no security
without economic stability, just as there can be no sustained economic
development without security.
The end of the Cold War may have reduced the risk of a superpower
conflict, but regional and sub-regional conflicts remain a real possibility.
Future ChallengesIn the 21st Century, globalisation and information technology willdramatically change the societies and economies of all nations, big andsmall. The security environment will change in tandem, as states adjustto the new competitions and threats of the post-Cold War era and thesecurity challenges that arise from them.An Uncertain Security LandscapeIn the Asia-Pacific region, the triangular relationship among the UnitedStates, China and Japan will continue to be the key factor determiningthe regional security climate. How this relationship will evolveis uncertain.The US presence in the region has contributed significantly to peace andstability in Southeast Asia. However, the balance of power will shift asChina gains economic strength. There will be a growing need for thesetwo countries and Japan to manage their relations with one another andwith the rest of the region more sensitively. Regional security and stabilityrequire a stable triangular relationship among the US, China and Japan,with all three powers focused on the larger goals of regional andinternational peace.It may take some time before the Asia-Pacific region recovers fully fromthe economic crisis. Full economic recovery in some parts of the regioncould be derailed by internal instability brought about by political andsocio-economic difficulties. The economic crisis has shown clearly thestrong linkage between economics and security. There can be no securitywithout economic stability, just as there can be no sustained economic
development without security.
The end of the Cold War may have reduced the risk of a superpower
conflict, but regional and sub-regional conflicts remain a real possibility.
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