3. Generation of hydrological time series for future scenarios
The analysis is based on the application of a continuous hydrological model coupled with stochastic generation
models of rainfall and temperature at hourly scale. Considering hypothetical future scenarios of temperature and
rainfall predicted by assuming the same observed trends are forecast for the future, the local time series can be
perturbed and used as input in the stochastic generation models to obtain future rainfall and temperature time
series. Then, future synthetic discharge time series, obtained through the continuous hydrological model, represent
the input for the SimBat model.
In particular, for the stochastic