An application of dynamic survival models in unemployment
studies
Abstract New dynamicB ayesian models for survivald ata analysisa re applied in a studyo f
contributorfyac torst o unemploymenTth. e modelst reats urvivald ata as times eriesd ata, reflecting
then eedt o modelt imev aryingre lationshipwsi the xplanatorvya riablest hatc annotb e accommodated
withins tandardp roportionahla zardm odels.I n thep resentst udyp, riore xpectationtsh att hee ffectosf
variouss ocio-economivca riableso n unemploymenspte llsa ret imed ependenatr ev erifiedA. ssessment
of thesee ffectasr e givena nd useso f them odeli n predictinugn employmeniltlu strated.